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A super detailed Redskins Writeup

Intro: After our offseason writeup on was posted on reddit, I noticed a lot of mistakes and a lack of overall realism and detail. No offense to the author, for someone thats not a Redskins fan it's obvious you put a lot of work into it, I just think I could give a more detailed look at the team. For this informal writeup I will be mainly focused on the roster and training camp battles and I won't do game by game predictions because I think it's hard to predict games months before they happen. Anyway hope you all enjoy this cuz i spent a shit ton of time on it.
2017 overview: For the past few years the Redskins have been the definition of average, and from an outside view 2017 was no different, with the team finishing 7-9 and taking their usual 3rd place spot in the NFC East. Expectations were high after Jon Allen(DE out of Alabama) slid to us at 17 after falling to due to injury concerns, and the hype was through the roof for 1000 yard Browns receiver Terrelle Pryor was brought in on a one year deal to help replace Garcon and Jackson.(Spoiler: He did not) After a promising 2-1 start, with a 230 yard rushing performance against the Rams in week 2 and a major Primetime rout of the then playoff contender Raiders in week 3 things were looking up, but then after a close loss to the chiefs in week 4 things went down in typical redskins fashion. The rest of the season saw the team demolished by injuries(most weeks the injury report was longer than a cowboys players rap sheet). At one point a rookie udfa guard had to play LT and we resorted to starting TJ Clemmings. The team ended with 23 players on IR and had the most starters out of any team in the NFL, it was almost a relief when the season ended.
Coaching Changes: Not much change here, Kevin O'Connell was promoted from qb coach to passing game coordinator, there were rumours he could take a coaching job at USC and there are only so many promotions we can give him. Kyle Smith was promoted to Coordinator of College Scouting after being a huge part of our last 2 drafts.
Alex Smith Trade: I think I have the same opinion as most Redskins Fans, I'm glad we were proactive in getting a qb because we knew Cousins probably wasn't staying, and getting Alex meant we wouldn't have to trade up our first rounder on a qb. The thing I absolutely Hated was losing fuller(we didn't even call him he found out through the internet) he was a fan favorite and finished with 4 ints, and 12 pds as a slot cb, his loss will hurt. The good thing in getting smith is we save 11m from what cousins is making which allowed us to get ZB and Richardson.
Notable Losses
Kirk Cousins, QB
Vikings
Kendall Fuller, CB
Traded to the Chiefs for QB Alex Smith
Bashaud Breeland, CB
Unsigned( i'm definitely surprised)
Trent Murphy, DE/OLB
Bills
Ryan Grant, WR
Colts
Spencer Long, C
Jets
Terrelle Pryor, WR
Jets
Su’a Cravens, S
Traded to the Broncos for a 5th
Niles Paul, TE
Jaguars
Terrell Mcclain, DT
Falcons
Junior Gallete, OLB
Unsigned
It is very tough losing Fuller, though im confident about letting Spencer Long and Breeland go. Murphy had one good season but was suspended for PEDs so dont know how much of it was due to that, he's also. coming off injury. Gallete was a good speed rusher but wanted money and playing time he wouldn't get behind Kerrigan and Smith. Mcclain should be easily replaced. Ryan Grant was a great route runner and very smart but 8 mil was too much for our WR.4. Niles Paul was a special teams captain and could do a lot of things but we let home go so Sprinkle could play more. The good thing is the 4 comp picks we will get(the max) will bring us to 10 picks even after the supplemental draft.
Notable Free Agent Additions
Alex Smith, QB, 5 years(3 year deal basically)
Acquired in a trade with the Chiefs
Kevin Hogan, QB
Acquired in a trade with the Browns
Pernell Mcphee, OLB, 1 year- Bears
Paul Richardson, WR, 5 years- Seahawks
Orlando Scandrick(ughh), CB, 2 years- Cowboys
I like the Richardson signing, obviously 40 million is an overpay but the WR market is fucked up and he can open things up for Reed, Crowder and Thompson on the inside and give Doctson more 1 on 1s.
Pernell Mcphee is a quality backup and can stop the run.
I hated the scandrick signing as you will see we have an abundance of young(inexperienced ik) slot cbs on the roster that i'd like to see over a band-aid starter.
Hogan probably doesn't have much of a chance but if he somehow beats out Mccoy we can save 3 mil.
Not gonna get into smith much rn but he turned the ball over 3 times less than cousins, and is coming off his best year(ik, ik his weapons were good but he was the best deep passer even Without Tyreek)
Re-Signings
Zach Brown, ILB- 3 years
Mason Foster, ILB- 2 years
Quinton Dunbar, CB- 3 years
Shawn Lauvo, LG- 1 year
Deshazor Everett, S- 2 years
Bringing back Foster was good, he's not much more than average but his contract is cheap.
Re-signing Zach Brown was huge, if we had kept cousins we wouldn't have gotten him back, he has his issues in coverage but he's a top 12 ILB
I liked extending Dunbar, he will start for us probably and has a lot of potential
I didn't love the Lauvo re-signing, but he will probably be better then Nsekhe would.
The 2018 Draft
R.1, P.13
Daron Payne, DT Alabama: I was hoping for Fitzpatrick or Derwin James here, and i'll admit I was pissed when we passed on Derwin, but we finished 32nd against the Run plain and simple, While a lot of that was because injuries there is no denying that we had the worst starting NT in football with the out of position and ineffective Ziggy Hood. After having some time I like the pick as he is only 21 and our D-line is all home-grown with Allen, Payne and Ionman(Matt Ioannidis) Payne should help us greatly improve in Run D, and allow Allen to get after the qb more instead of taking double teams.
R.2, P. 59
Derrius Guice, RB, lSU: I still can't believe we got Guice(We even were able to trade down for a 3rd), he was widely believed to be the 2nd best back in the class, He is not a tested receiving back but he is great between the tackles and has a mix of speed and power. I'm among those that think the Character Concerns are absolute BS, many of the rumours going around on Draft Night have been shown to be false(Eagles visit fight was denied by Howie), proving that there were false rumours going around. He helped raise 20k for Cancer, Took 50 redskins fans to the movies, and even rescued a woman from.a burning car. He is also only 21 and him and Payne could be the face of our team for many years. Absolute Steal
R.3 P.74
Geron Christian Sr., OT, Louisville: This was a luxury pick, last year injuries forced us to start an undrafted rookie RG at LT and TJ Clemmings attempted to play Tackle for us for 2 games. Geron is very athletic with very good footwork and his main strength is pass pro and his ability to play both LT and RT. He is somewhat underpowered and has some questionable hand technique. He is coming into a very good situation where he can learn from Trent Williams, Morgan Moses and Ty Nsekhe, at 21 years old he is our swing tackle of the future
R.4, P.109
Troy Apke, Pen State, S: This was a questionable pick but one I understand I was hoping to get a starting guard around here but we didn't address the position at all. Apke is a raw safety with 4.31 speed who can “run run”. CBs Fabian Moreau and Quinton Dunbar were major Special teamers but at least 1 will start and he other will see increased PT. So in order to replace them we get Apke who can play all 4 special teams and will probably be a gunner for a year or 2 before getting a chance to contribute.
R.5 P.163
Tim Settle, Virginia Tech, NT: I think this was a big steal, we had a second round grade on him and he slid a lot, mostly due to weight concerns. Hes a big NT at 330 but has surprisingly good footwork and burst, I could see him having a role early in running downs. At 20 yo he's the youngest player on our team I think
R.6, P.197
Shaun Dion-Hamilton, ILB, Alabama: The Alabama inside linebacker joins teammates Allen, Anderson and Payne. He has major injury.concerns and is a bit undersized, but was apparently the smartest player in the Alabama Defense. It's worth noting we traded up for him and Gruden has said multiple times he could start down the road. He has a lot of competition for the backup ILB spots tho.
R.7, P.241
Greg Stroman, CB, Virginia Tech: We really should change our name to Alabama Tech, As Stroman is one of 3 VA tech players we drafted this year. Stroman is undersized but extremely good in man coverage, and is a very good punt returner. He faces a lot of competition but his return skills could land him on the roster.
R.7, P.256
Trey Quinn, WR, SMU: Trey Quinn, this years Mr. Irrelevant is getting. lot of hype from redskins fans. He had 114 catches in his final year of college and can play outside and in the slot(*insert Sneakily athletic Joke). He could see a lot of time in the 2019 season if we can't keep Crowder, i'm excited for him, but I have another WR that i'm a little more excited for….
Supplemental Draft, R.6
Adonis Alexander, CB, Virgina Tech: Off-field stuff caused Adonis to be releases by Tech.And we took him with a 6th round pick in the supplemental draft. The 6’3 corner has very similar measurements to Richard Sherman. There is 0℅ he starts this year but if he makes the roster Torrian Grey(our secondaries Coach and former VA Tech coach) could develop him. We could lose him but i'd like the practice squad for him.
Roster
Bold=Starter
QB
Alex Smith: The Alex Smith trade took a lot of people by surprise and brought the end of the Kirk Cousins Era. You can go back and forth on Kirk and Alex and make a good argument for either one, but this season Kirk will make 11 mill more than Alex and if Kirk is better he's not 11 mill better. Alex is a game manager who takes care of the football, turning the ball over 3 times less than cousins. He also can make plays with his feet which Gruden really likes. Obviously Alex had a lot of help in KC and we won't know which version of Alex we are getting till week 1. Our season depends on how well he can adjust, but Gruden's system is very qb friendly.
Colt Mcoy: Colt “Cowboy-Killer” is definitely one of the better backup qbs in the league, he is entering his final year on contract but unless he does horrible in preseason and hogan plays very well he should be safe.
Kevin Hogan: We swapped 6th round picks with the Browns to get local qb Kevin Hogan, He could just be a camp arm but he has experience and could play well enough in preseason to earn a spot on the 53 or somehow beat out Mccoy.
RB:
Derrius Guice: No surprise here, the RB many consider the steal of the Draft becomes the 1st and second down power back the team has been looking for since Alfred Morris. He has impressed in OTAs with his receiving ability, but we won't know till training camp how his pass blocking is.
Chris Thompson: Im listing him as a starter because he will be our third down back. He broke out last year with 300(4.6 ypc) yards rushing and 510 rec yards on 39 catches(13.1 avg) in 10 games, hes such a likeable dude and im glad we extended him before last season. For a guy his size he is a very good pass blocker and is probably one of the most respected guys in the locker room.
Samaje Perine: a 4th rounder last year, Im a lot higher on him than most, he was running behind a demolished O-line that in some games had ⅕ starters on it, he did have 2 back to back 100 yard rushing games against the saints and giants. He ended the year with 603 yards rushing and 1 TD(3.4 ypc) and hauled in 22 of 24 targets for 180 yards and a TD. I expect him to spell Guice and be a late game closer.
Rob Kelly: I love Fat Rob Kelly but I think his time is done here. He finished last year with 194 yards rushing and 3 tds(3.1 ypc). I think we keep 4 rbs but the 4th is likely a backup to CT
Kapri Bibbs: I think he gets the 4th rb spot, the former bronco and member of the super bowl team joined in week 14. In 3 games he finished with 80 yards rushing and caught 14 of 17 targets for 130 yards and a TD.
Byron Marshall: Taken from the eagles practice squad last year, Gruden likes him, has a chance to be 4th RB, practice squad likely
Martez Carter: UDFA rookie, third down back type, competing with Byron for PS spot.
Keith Marshall: 7th rounder in 2016, missed both seasons with injury, 4.3 speed but probably has no chance
WR
Josh Doctson:2016 1st rounder, Doctson has been underwhelming but i don't think he belongs in the same category with Treadwell and Perriman, had 500 yards and 6tds with one being a major game winner against the seahawks, has had his share of endzone drops tho(chiefs, broncos)
I think he gets 700-750 8 tds
Paul Richardson: Had 700 yards with the hawks, also had 13 rec of over 20 yards, will play desean jackson role and open things up for crowder, reed, and Thompson, has made some crazy catches and is good in the red zone, plays bigger then his size. He has been praised for his route running which he didn't get to do a lot in seattle because….reasons.
Jamison Crowder: Top 12 slot wr imo, Took him a while to get going and he struggled(a lot) with fumbling punts. In a contract year. Finished last year with 790 yards and 3 tds. I hope we can keep him but with the wr market being what it is I could see him leaving after this year.
Robert Davis: 6th rounder from last year, im super excited for him 6’3 with 4.4 speed, spent last year on PS, has looked very good at otas, I think he gets the WR 4 spot
Brian Quick: Not very quick, only thing he has going for him is being a veteran and experience, had 77 yards last year including a major one against the hawks.
Maurice Harris:: 3rd year udfa receiver, 6’3, made crazy td catch against Vikings, good ST and is entering a critical year
Trey Quinn: 7th round 6’0 rookie from this year, can play outside and in the slot, we will probably keep 6 wrs so i think he makes it.
Simie Cobbs: Best UDFA rookie wr, not very fast but is good at 50/50 balls, My guess is PS but he might get poached.
Cam Sims: 6’5 udfa from Alabama, has been doing good at OTAs, fighting for PS spot
LT
Trent Williams: Top 3 LT in the NFL and 6 time pro bowler, played injured last year, He will help Alex Smith have a hopefully smooth transition
Ty Nsekhe: 34 years old and on a one year deal, Above average Backup, can play guard as well
LG/RG
Shawn Lauvo: The weak spot on the line, 30 years old, injury prone and a below average starter
Tyler Catalina: UDFA last year, suprisngly made the roster, played pretty bad at both tackle and guard
Brandon Scherff: 2 Time Probowler, A top 10 guard in the NFL, very good run blocker, we picked up his 5th year option but we will need to pay him eventually
Kyle Kalis: Another UDFA from last year played well in preseason but surprisingly was cut in favor of Catalina, played 3 games for the colts and was not great, he was cut and we brought him back to compete with Catalina.
Center
Chase Roullier: Chase Roullier was a 6th round pick from last year, started 7 games for us and all things considered he looked pretty good. He did have his rookie mistakes, he high snapped a ball that led to a fumble but was luckily recovered, and at the beginning of the season he struggled in run blocking though he did get better. He was very good in pass pro though and only allowed 1 hurry in his final 4 starts. We were confident enough in him to let Spencer Long go. Im not expecting a pro-bowl but I think he can be an average center at least, and i'm excited to watch him play, and he seems like a cool dude.
Tony Bergstrom: Came in in the middle of the year and was forced to play as our third string center with like a week of practice, he was horrible in run blocking I think but decent at pass pro. He's a lock to make the roster as our backup C.
Casey Dunn: Undrafted Rookie, undersized, My guess is pracitce squad
RT
Morgan Moses: I think Morgan is super underrated, he's probably a top 10 or at the very least top 12 RT. He played almost all of last season on 2 injured ankles
Geron Christian Sr.: 3rd round rookie, see draft section for nore, excited to see him in Preseason
TJ Clemmings: Nope
TE
Jordan Reed: This is a big year for Jordan, if he is healthy he will make Alex Smith's first year so much easier,and if not then a trade or pay cut is a possibility. But hes a game changer and our playbook has a lot of plays designed for him.
Vernon Davis: Vernon Davis is still going strong at 34 years old, finishing last year with 648 yards and 3 tds, He's a respected guy in the locker room and we are lucky to have him. He is also reunited with his former qb Alex Smith for the end of their careers.
Jeremy Sprinkle: A 5th round pick last year who should have more playing time as we let Jack-of-all-Trades Niles Paul go in FA. He only had 2 catches last year but one was a TD. He's probably our best blocking TE as the run game was better when he was on the field.
Matt Flanagan/ Garrett Hudson: UDFAs fighting for a PS spot
LE
Jonathan Allen: Our 1st round pick from 2017 was quietly having a great start to the season before landing on IR in week 6. While he only had 1 sack, he was getting tons of pressure and doing the dirty work for the Defense. In his 5 games on the field, Preston Smith had 4.5 sacks and Matt Ioannidis had 3, after he was gone Preston had 3.5 in the final 11 games
Anthony Lanier: an UDFA from 2016 who made the team but was inactive, but last year he had a minor break out and should be our 3rd down pass rush specialist. In the final 6 games he played like a fire was lit under him(which is terrifying when your coach makes u play butt-ass naked) He had 5 sacks, 6 batted passes, a ff and a blocked fg, roster lock
NT
Daron Payne: 1st round rookie from this year, Gruden says he will start at Nose
Stacy Mcgee: Brought in last year from the raiders, was decent but unspectacular with 44 tackles and no sacks, probably make the roster but might miss some of training camp with an injury.
Tim Settle: 5th round rookie we had a second round grade on, will contribute early.
Ziggy Hood: He's a leader and seems like an awesome guy but he's over 30, gets no push in the pocket and was horrible at nose
Phil Taylor: Super injury prone and over 30, would have started for us last year after an awesome preseason but got injured, i don't think he makes it
RE
Matt Ionnidas, Ionman, King Ionnidas: 2016 5th rounder, Had a minor breakout last year, gets a ton of push in the pocket, He and Jon allen were 2 of the top 4 pass rushing DEs until week 6 when Allen landed on Ir and he broke his hand. He and Allen can be really good
Tavaris Barnes: Camp Body, maybe has a shot at PS
LOLB:
Ryan Kerrigan: Since 2014 he has the most sacks since Von Miller and leads the league in FF(22) since being drafted, beat player on our Defense , having Payne and Allen back will help
Finished 2017 with 13 sacks
Pernell Mcphee: Injury Prone but a high quality backup, can stop the run and play some D-line. Roster Lock
ROLB
Preston Smith: 2015 2nd rounder, Preston Smith is in a contract year and could get payed big, he was off to a great start with 4.5 sacks in 5 games but went 8 games without getting another, finished with 8 sacks, 2 ints and a FF.
Him and Kerrigan had the most sacks of any OLB duo last year
Ryan Anderson: 2nd round Alabama OLB from last year, didnt show anything finishing with only 15 tackles in 180 snaps. He should get more time this year so im hopeful. Roster Lock
Alex Mcallister: Speed rusher, spent last year on PS, I think he goes there again.
Pete Robertson: 3rd year UDFA, doubt he makes it
ILB
Zach Brown: He would have lead the league in tackles if he stayed healthy, He is super fast and athletic and very good against the run(yes, we do have players that are good against the run), will benefit from another year in the system. He's not very good in coverage but he's not a liability either. Finished last year with 127 tackles and 2.5 sacks. Really glad we re-signed him
Mason Foster: Was injured early last year, but had a game sealing INT vs the Rams after he popped his shoulder back into place. Pretty much an average starter.
Josh Harvey-Clemmons: A 7th round pick from last year. A 6’3 Converted Safety who I think could be pretty good. Could be in line for some more PT. finished last year with 16 tackles and a .5 sacks. Worked some with the 1st team in OTAs so he should be safe
Zach Vigil: Came in and played pretty well for us in the middle of the year. i think he makes the roster. The refs robbed him of an INT against the Broncos. finished with 60 tackles. Competing with Spaight, but I think he makes it
Martrell Spaight: Could be the odd man out, 4th year 5th round pick, He's a good ST, but not good in coverage, and missed a lot of tackles, finished last year with 75 tackles, if he plays well enough in preseason. he could push Shaun to the PS.
Shaun Dion-Hamilton: 6th round rookie, undersized but smart, injury history
Vontae Diggs/ Jerod Fernandez: UDFA rookies fighting for a PS spot
CB
Josh Norman: No competition here for the cb1 spot, Jno is a leader and still solid but I think it's his last year, moving on after the season would help a lot for extensions for preston smith and Scherff
Quinton Dunbar: 2017 third round pick Fabian Moreau could win the job but im going with Dunbar. Dunbar's story is interesting, came to the skins a few years back as an undrafted wr who couldn't catch and was moved to cb, now he projects to be a starter. The 6’2 Corner played 300+ snaps and didn't give up a TD, defended 8 passes and intercepted wentz. The battle for the cb2 spot is the biggest one of training camp.
Orlando Scandrick(hopefully not), I hated this signing, scandrick is old and has a major injury history, luckily there are a lot of guys in position to win the job, Moreau being the big one, with Holsey and Stroman having a small chance too. For now he's listed as a starter but he has vet little guaranteed money so I hope they won't just give him the job.
Fabian Moreau: 2017 third round pick, He was projected by some to be a late first before tearing his pec at his pro day. He ran a 4.3 at the combine. The 6’0 cb is more of an outside cb but could probably play the slot, big expectations from the fans
Josh Holsey: 2017 7th rounder, was a ST only guy last year and was decent, hes 5”11 and projects as a slot cb, could be pushed to the PS due to all the new corners(Stroman)
Adonis Alexander: 6’3 supplemental 6th rounder, super raw with some off field concerns but could have a role next year
Greg Stroman: 7th round rookie, very good in man coverage, slot cb, can return punts which may give him an edge over Holsey.
Danny Johnson: UDFA rookie slot cb, has been impressing at OTAs, could win a PS spot and maybe kick out Holsey, but will need to improve against the run
FS
Montae Nicholson: 2017 4th rounder, We really didn't like this pick. He has great athleticism at 6’2 and 4.4 speed but was seen as a big reach, but now he is the most hyped player on our Defense. He only played a few games due to injury but had an INT of Carr and looked good roaming the backfield. Gruden called him the Jordan Reed in how much he allows them to do
Troy Apke: 4th round rookie, 4.31 speed, probably is a ST only guy while he develops
Fish Smithson: 3rd year UDFA who impressed in Preseason last year after getting an INT, spent last year on the PS, could return there but will compete with Blanding and Everett
SS
DJ Swearinger: The unquestioned leader of our Defense, came in last year and was made captain before playing a snap. His hit on Lynch in week 3 shows the player he is. He did have some big plays allowed but was an above average safety with 70 tackles, 4 ints, 10 pds, and a FF.
Deshazor Everett: Re-signed to a 2 year deal, good ST and good depth though he has his issues in coverage, forced a fumble against the broncos, probably safe
Quin Blanding: Local 6’2 UDFA rookie, not very fast(4.6 speed) but an excellent tackler, zone coverage experienced, and finished with 495 tackles in his career, Gruden says he has a chance to stick, could land on the PS but I think he makes the roster
Upcoming Free Agents
Preston Smith
Jamison Crowder
Anthony Lanier
Pernell Mcphee
Colt Mccoy
Future Needs
CB
LG
ILB
TE
QB
2019 Projected Draft Picks
1 1st round
1 2nd round
2 3rd round
1 4th round
2 5th round
2 6th round
1 7th round
I hope we hold off on QB this year and wait for the 2020 draft. I like most of our depth so I wouldn't hate it if we used most of our picks to move up for a blue chip player, I see CB as our biggest need next year.
Expectations
Secondary: I will start off with the area I think we regress most in, surprisingly our secondary was 11th in yards given up, even though we allowed the 5th most explosive plays I think we fall anywhere from 16-22 range. We lost 2 starters in Breeland and Fuller and there will be a lot of new faces. I'm optimistic the cb2 situation. will work out with Dunba Moreau, but im less confident in the slot cb situation, we are in a division with Beasly, Shepard and Agholor. Some Days I think our pass rush allows them to look really good, but they will have to gell fast or guys like Rodgers and Matt Ryan could have big days if they don't communicate.
Pass Rush: This is the one area i think we are top 5 in, we were 7th last year with Allen and Ionman getting injured after week 6 and this year we add Payne in the 1st, I think this unit will get a lot of respect after a few games
Receivers: I don't think we have a 1000 yard receiver this year, there will be a lot of targets between Doctson, Reed, Crowder, Richardson, Thompson, Davis and a few for guice, If reed is healthy he has the best chance, followed by crowder, but I think we have a well balanced passing game and smith gets to 4k yards(Cousins got to it all 3 years he was here)
Run D: Im not gonna go crazy since we were last in the nfl last year so I will predict a top 18 Run D, Injuries played a large role in that and we replaced the worst starting NT in the NFL.(Its ziggy hood)I think the potential is higher though.
Overview: I really do think we are a better team than most give us credit for and I think we will be competitive in every game, especially with all our guys coming back from IR, but with that being said we are in the NFC which is going to be a bloodbath and our Division is headed by the reigning super bowl champs, and Barkley and Zeke will give us headaches twice a year and test our revamped run-d. My prediction is 9-7 for the season, I don't think that will be enough for a wild-card appearance in the NFC(Just a daily reminder, it is stacked as hell). If we underperform i could see Gruden leaving and the new coach will have 10 picks to work with. Anyway I hope you enjoyed this, I spent quite a bit of my time on this and I hope it gives you a better perspective on our team. HTTR!
submitted by Devan_Corliss to washingtonNFL

A super detailed Redskins writeup(2.0)

Intro: After our offseason writeup on was posted on reddit, I noticed a lot of mistakes and a lack of overall realism and detail. No offense to the author, for someone thats not a Redskins fan it's obvious you put a lot of work into it, I just think I could give a more detailed look at the team. For this informal writeup I will be mainly focused on the roster and training camp battles and I won't do game by game predictions because I think it's hard to predict games months before they happen. Anyway hope you all enjoy this cuz i spent a shit ton of time on it.
2017 overview: For the past few years the Redskins have been the definition of average, and from an outside view 2017 was no different, with the team finishing 7-9 and taking their usual 3rd place spot in the NFC East. Expectations were high after Jon Allen(DE out of Alabama) slid to us at 17 after falling to due to injury concerns, and the hype was through the roof for 1000 yard Browns receiver Terrelle Pryor was brought in on a one year deal to help replace Garcon and Jackson.(Spoiler: He did not) After a promising 2-1 start, with a 230 yard rushing performance against the Rams in week 2 and a major Primetime rout of the then playoff contender Raiders in week 3 things were looking up, but then after a close loss to the chiefs in week 4 things went down in typical redskins fashion. The rest of the season saw the team demolished by injuries(most weeks the injury report was longer than a cowboys players rap sheet). At one point a rookie udfa guard had to play LT and we resorted to starting TJ Clemmings. The team ended with 23 players on IR and had the most starters out of any team in the NFL, it was almost a relief when the season ended.
Coaching Changes: Not much change here, Kevin O'Connell was promoted from qb coach to passing game coordinator, there were rumours he could take a coaching job at USC and there are only so many promotions we can give him. Kyle Smith was promoted to Coordinator of College Scouting after being a huge part of our last 2 drafts.
Alex Smith Trade: I think I have the same opinion as most Redskins Fans, I'm glad we were proactive in getting a qb because we knew Cousins probably wasn't staying, and getting Alex meant we wouldn't have to trade up our first rounder on a qb. The thing I absolutely Hated was losing Fuller(we didn't even call him he found out through the internet) he was a fan favorite and finished with 4 ints, and 12 pds as a slot cb, his loss will hurt. The good thing in getting Smith is we save 11m from what Cousins is making which allowed us to get ZB and Richardson.
Notable Losses
Kirk Cousins, QB-Vikings
Kendall Fuller, CB-Traded to the Chiefs for QB Alex Smith
Bashaud Breeland, CB- Unsigned
Trent Murphy, DE/OLB- Bills
Ryan Grant, WR- Colts
Spencer Long, C- Jets
Terrelle Pryor, WR- Jets
Su’a Cravens, S- Traded to the Broncos
Niles Paul, TE- Jaguars
Terrell Mcclain, DT- Falcons
Junior Gallete, OLB- Unsigned
It is very tough losing Fuller, though im confident about letting Spencer Long and Breeland go. Murphy had one good season but was suspended for PEDs so dont know how much of it was due to that, he's also. coming off injury. Gallete was a good speed rusher but wanted money and playing time he wouldn't get behind Kerrigan and Smith. Mcclain should be easily replaced. Ryan Grant was a great route runner and very smart but 8 mil was too much for our WR.4. Niles Paul was a special teams captain and could do a lot of things but we let go so Sprinkle could play more. The good thing is the 4 comp picks we will get(the max) will bring us to 10 picks even after the supplemental draft.
Notable Free Agent Additions
Alex Smith, QB, 5 years(3 year deal basically) -Acquired in a trade with the Chiefs
Kevin Hogan, QB-Acquired in a trade with the Browns
Pernell Mcphee, OLB, 1 year- Bears
Paul Richardson, WR, 5 years- Seahawks
Orlando Scandrick(ughh), CB, 2 years- Cowboys
I like the Richardson signing, obviously 40 million is an overpay but the WR market is fucked up and he can open things up for Reed, Crowder and Thompson on the inside and give Doctson more 1 on 1s.
Pernell Mcphee is a quality backup and can stop the run.
I hated the scandrick signing as you will see we have an abundance of young(inexperienced ik) slot cbs on the roster that i'd like to see over a band-aid starter.
Hogan probably doesn't have much of a chance but if he somehow beats out Mccoy we can save 3 mil.
Not gonna get into smith much rn but he turned the ball over 3 times less than cousins, and is coming off his best year(ik, ik his weapons were good but he was the best deep passer even Without Tyreek)
Re-Signings
Zach Brown, ILB- 3 years
Mason Foster, ILB- 2 years
Quinton Dunbar, CB- 3 years
Shawn Lauvo, LG- 1 year
Deshazor Everett, S- 2 years
Bringing back Foster was good, he's not much more than average but his contract is cheap.
Re-signing Zach Brown was huge, if we had kept cousins we wouldn't have gotten him back, he has his issues in coverage but he's a top 12 ILB
I liked extending Dunbar, he will start for us probably and has a lot of potential
I didn't love the Lauvo re-signing, but he will probably be better then Nsekhe would.
The 2018 Draft
R.1, P.13
Daron Payne, DT Alabama: I was hoping for Fitzpatrick or Derwin James here, and i'll admit I was pissed when we passed on Derwin, but we finished 32nd against the Run plain and simple, While a lot of that was because injuries there is no denying that we had the worst starting NT in football with the out of position and ineffective Ziggy Hood. After having some time I like the pick as he is only 21 and our D-line is all home-grown with Allen, Payne and Ionman(Matt Ioannidis) Payne should help us greatly improve in Run D, and allow Allen to get after the qb more instead of taking double teams.
R.2, P. 59
Derrius Guice, RB, lSU: I still can't believe we got Guice(We even were able to trade down for a 3rd), he was widely believed to be the 2nd best back in the class, He is not a tested receiving back but he is great between the tackles and has a mix of speed and power. I'm among those that think the Character Concerns are absolute BS, many of the rumours going around on Draft Night have been shown to be false(Eagles visit fight was denied by Howie), proving that there were false rumours going around. He helped raise 20k for Cancer, Took 50 redskins fans to the movies, and even rescued a woman from.a burning car. He is also only 21 and him and Payne could be the face of our team for many years. Absolute Steal
R.3 P.74
Geron Christian Sr., OT, Louisville: This was a luxury pick, last year injuries forced us to start an undrafted rookie RG at LT and TJ Clemmings attempted to play Tackle for us for 2 games. Geron is very athletic with very good footwork and his main strength is pass pro and his ability to play both LT and RT. He is somewhat underpowered and has some questionable hand technique. He is coming into a very good situation where he can learn from Trent Williams, Morgan Moses and Ty Nsekhe, at 21 years old he is our swing tackle of the future
R.4, P.109
Troy Apke, Pen State, S: This was a questionable pick but one I understand I was hoping to get a starting guard around here but we didn't address the position at all. Apke is a raw safety with 4.31 speed who can “run run”. CBs Fabian Moreau and Quinton Dunbar were major Special teamers but at least 1 will start and he other will see increased PT. So in order to replace them we get Apke who can play all 4 special teams and will probably be a gunner for a year or 2 before getting a chance to contribute.
R.5 P.163
Tim Settle, Virginia Tech, NT: I think this was a big steal, we had a second round grade on him and he slid a lot, mostly due to weight concerns. Hes a big NT at 330 but has surprisingly good footwork and burst, I could see him having a role early in running downs. At 20 yo he's the youngest player on our team I think
R.6, P.197
Shaun Dion-Hamilton, ILB, Alabama: The Alabama inside linebacker joins teammates Allen, Anderson and Payne. He has major injury.concerns and is a bit undersized, but was apparently the smartest player in the Alabama Defense. It's worth noting we traded up for him and Gruden has said multiple times he could start down the road. He has a lot of competition for the backup ILB spots tho.
R.7, P.241
Greg Stroman, CB, Virginia Tech: We really should change our name to Alabama Tech, As Stroman is one of 3 VA tech players we drafted this year. Stroman is undersized but extremely good in man coverage, and is a very good punt returner. He faces a lot of competition but his return skills could land him on the roster.
R.7, P.256
Trey Quinn, WR, SMU: Trey Quinn, this years Mr. Irrelevant is getting. lot of hype from redskins fans. He had 114 catches in his final year of college and can play outside and in the slot(*insert Sneakily athletic Joke). He could see a lot of time in the 2019 season if we can't keep Crowder, i'm excited for him, but I have another WR that i'm a little more excited for….
Supplemental Draft, R.6
Adonis Alexander, CB, Virgina Tech: Off-field stuff caused Adonis to be releases by Tech.And we took him with a 6th round pick in the supplemental draft. The 6’3 corner has very similar measurements to Richard Sherman. There is 0℅ he starts this year but if he makes the roster Torrian Grey(our secondaries Coach and former VA Tech coach) could develop him. We could lose him but i'd like the practice squad for him.
Roster
Bold=Starter
QB
Alex Smith: The Alex Smith trade took a lot of people by surprise and brought the end of the Kirk Cousins Era. You can go back and forth on Kirk and Alex and make a good argument for either one, but this season Kirk will make 11 mill more than Alex and if Kirk is better he's not 11 mill better. Alex is a game manager who takes care of the football, turning the ball over 3 times less than cousins. He also can make plays with his feet which Gruden really likes. Obviously Alex had a lot of help in KC and we won't know which version of Alex we are getting till week 1. Our season depends on how well he can adjust, but Gruden's system is very qb friendly.
Colt Mcoy: Colt “Cowboy-Killer” is definitely one of the better backup qbs in the league, he is entering his final year on contract but unless he does horrible in preseason and hogan plays very well he should be safe.
Kevin Hogan: We swapped 6th round picks with the Browns to get local qb Kevin Hogan, He could just be a camp arm but he has experience and could play well enough in preseason to earn a spot on the 53 or somehow beat out Mccoy.
RB:
Derrius Guice: No surprise here, the RB many consider the steal of the Draft becomes the 1st and second down power back the team has been looking for since Alfred Morris. He has impressed in OTAs with his receiving ability, but we won't know till training camp how his pass blocking is.
Chris Thompson: Im listing him as a starter because he will be our third down back. He broke out last year with 300(4.6 ypc) yards rushing and 510 rec yards on 39 catches(13.1 avg) in 10 games, hes such a likeable dude and im glad we extended him before last season. For a guy his size he is a very good pass blocker and is probably one of the most respected guys in the locker room.
Samaje Perine: a 4th rounder last year, Im a lot higher on him than most, he was running behind a demolished O-line that in some games had ⅕ starters on it, he did have 2 back to back 100 yard rushing games against the saints and giants. He ended the year with 603 yards rushing and 1 TD(3.4 ypc) and hauled in 22 of 24 targets for 180 yards and a TD. I expect him to spell Guice and be a late game closer.
Rob Kelly: I love Fat Rob Kelly but I think his time is done here. He finished last year with 194 yards rushing and 3 tds(3.1 ypc). I think we keep 4 rbs but the 4th is likely a backup to CT
Kapri Bibbs: I think he gets the 4th rb spot, the former bronco and member of the super bowl team joined in week 14. In 3 games he finished with 80 yards rushing and caught 14 of 17 targets for 130 yards and a TD.
Byron Marshall: Taken from the eagles practice squad last year, Gruden likes him, has a chance to be 4th RB, practice squad likely
Martez Carter: UDFA rookie, third down back type, competing with Byron for PS spot.
Keith Marshall: 7th rounder in 2016, missed both seasons with injury, 4.3 speed but probably has no chance
WR
Josh Doctson: 2016 1st rounder, Doctson has been underwhelming but I don't think he belongs in the same category with Treadwell and Perriman, had 500 yards and 6tds with one being a major game winner against the seahawks, has had his share of endzone drops tho(chiefs, broncos)
I think he gets 700-750 8 tds
Paul Richardson: Had 700 yards with the hawks, also had 13 rec of over 20 yards, will play desean jackson role and open things up for crowder, reed, and Thompson, has made some crazy catches and is good in the red zone, plays bigger then his size. He has been praised for his route running which he didn't get to do a lot in seattle because….reasons.
Jamison Crowder: Top 12 slot wr imo, Took him a while to get going and he struggled(a lot) with fumbling punts. In a contract year. Finished last year with 790 yards and 3 tds. I hope we can keep him but with the wr market being what it is I could see him leaving after this year.
Robert Davis: 6th rounder from last year, im super excited for him 6’3 with 4.4 speed, spent last year on PS, has looked very good at otas, I think he gets the WR 4 spot, couldn be the star of preseason
Brian Quick: Not very quick, only thing he has going for him is being a veteran and experience, had 77 yards last year including a major one against the hawks.
Maurice Harris:: 3rd year udfa receiver, 6’3, made crazy td catch against Vikings, good ST and is entering a critical year
Trey Quinn: 7th round 6’0 rookie from this year, can play outside and in the slot, we will probably keep 6 wrs so i think he makes it.
Simie Cobbs: Best UDFA rookie wr, not very fast but is good at 50/50 balls, My guess is PS but he might get poached.
Cam Sims: 6’5 udfa from Alabama, has been doing good at OTAs, fighting for PS spot
LT
Trent Williams: Top 3 LT in the NFL and 6 time pro bowler, played injured last year, He will help Alex Smith have a hopefully smooth transition
Ty Nsekhe: 34 years old and on a one year deal, Above average Backup, can play guard as well
LG/RG
Shawn Lauvo: The weak spot on the line, 30 years old, injury prone and a below average starter
Tyler Catalina: UDFA last year, suprisngly made the roster, played pretty bad at both tackle and guard
Brandon Scherff: 2 Time Probowler, A top 10 guard in the NFL, very good run blocker, we picked up his 5th year option but we will need to pay him eventually
Kyle Kalis: Another UDFA from last year played well in preseason but surprisingly was cut in favor of Catalina, played 3 games for the colts and was not great, he was cut and we brought him back to compete with Catalina.
Center
Chase Roullier: Chase Roullier was a 6th round pick from last year, started 7 games for us and all things considered he looked pretty good. He did have his rookie mistakes, he high snapped a ball that led to a fumble but was luckily recovered, and at the beginning of the season he struggled in run blocking though he did get better. He was very good in pass pro though and only allowed 1 hurry in his final 4 starts. We were confident enough in him to let Spencer Long go. Im not expecting a pro-bowl but I think he can be an average center at least, and i'm excited to watch him play, and he seems like a cool dude.
Tony Bergstrom: Came in in the middle of the year and was forced to play as our third string center with like a week of practice, he was horrible in run blocking I think but decent at pass pro. He's a lock to make the roster as our backup C.
Casey Dunn: Undrafted Rookie, undersized, My guess is pracitce squad
RT
Morgan Moses: I think Morgan is super underrated, he's probably a top 10 or at the very least top 12 RT. He played almost all of last season on 2 injured ankles
Geron Christian Sr.: 3rd round rookie, see draft section for nore, excited to see him in Preseason
TJ Clemmings: Nope
TE
Jordan Reed: This is a big year for Jordan, if he is healthy he will make Alex Smith's first year so much easier,and if not then a trade or pay cut is a possibility. But hes a game changer and our playbook has a lot of plays designed for him.
Vernon Davis: Vernon Davis is still going strong at 34 years old, finishing last year with 648 yards and 3 tds, He's a respected guy in the locker room and we are lucky to have him. He is also reunited with his former qb Alex Smith for the end of their careers.
Jeremy Sprinkle: A 5th round pick last year who should have more playing time as we let Jack-of-all-Trades Niles Paul go in FA. He only had 2 catches last year but one was a TD. He's probably our best blocking TE as the run game was better when he was on the field.
Matt Flanagan/ Garrett Hudson: UDFAs fighting for a PS spot
LE
Jonathan Allen: Our 1st round pick from 2017 was quietly having a great start to the season before landing on IR in week 6. While he only had 1 sack, he was getting tons of pressure and doing the dirty work for the Defense. In his 5 games on the field, Preston Smith had 4.5 sacks and Matt Ioannidis had 3, after he was gone Preston had 3.5 in the final 11 games
Anthony Lanier: an UDFA from 2016 who made the team but was inactive, but last year he had a minor break out and should be our 3rd down pass rush specialist. In the final 6 games he played like a fire was lit under him(which is terrifying when your coach makes u play butt-ass naked) He had 5 sacks, 6 batted passes, a ff and a blocked fg, roster lock
NT
Daron Payne: 1st round rookie from this year, Gruden says he will start at Nose
Stacy Mcgee: Brought in last year from the raiders, was decent but unspectacular with 44 tackles and no sacks, probably make the roster but might miss some of training camp with an injury.
Tim Settle: 5th round rookie we had a second round grade on, will contribute early.
Ziggy Hood: He's a leader and seems like an awesome guy but he's over 30, gets no push in the pocket and was horrible at nose
Phil Taylor: Super injury prone and over 30, would have started for us last year after an awesome preseason but got injured, i don't think he makes it
RE
Matt Ionnidas, Ionman, King Ionnidas: 2016 5th rounder, Had a minor breakout last year, gets a ton of push in the pocket, He and Jon allen were 2 of the top 4 pass rushing DEs until week 6 when Allen landed on Ir and he broke his hand. He and Allen can be really good
Tavaris Barnes: Camp Body, maybe has a shot at PS
LOLB:
Ryan Kerrigan: Since 2014 he has the most sacks since Von Miller and leads the league in FF(22) since being drafted, beat player on our Defense , having Payne and Allen back will help
Finished 2017 with 13 sacks
Pernell Mcphee: Injury Prone but a high quality backup, can stop the run and play some D-line. Roster Lock
ROLB
Preston Smith: 2015 2nd rounder, Preston Smith is in a contract year and could get payed big, he was off to a great start with 4.5 sacks in 5 games but went 8 games without getting another, finished with 8 sacks, 2 ints and a FF.
Him and Kerrigan had the most sacks of any OLB duo last year
Ryan Anderson: 2nd round Alabama OLB from last year, didnt show anything finishing with only 15 tackles in 180 snaps. He should get more time this year so im hopeful. Roster Lock
Alex Mcallister: Speed rusher, spent last year on PS, I think he goes there again.
Pete Robertson: 3rd year UDFA, doubt he makes it
ILB
Zach Brown: He would have lead the league in tackles if he stayed healthy, He is super fast and athletic and very good against the run(yes, we do have players that are good against the run), will benefit from another year in the system. He's not very good in coverage but he's not a liability either. Finished last year with 127 tackles and 2.5 sacks. Really glad we re-signed him
Mason Foster: Was injured early last year, but had a game sealing INT vs the Rams after he popped his shoulder back into place. Pretty much an average starter.
Josh Harvey-Clemmons: A 7th round pick from last year. A 6’3 Converted Safety who I think could be pretty good. Could be in line for some more PT. finished last year with 16 tackles and a .5 sacks. Worked some with the 1st team in OTAs so he should be safe
Zach Vigil: Came in and played pretty well for us in the middle of the year. i think he makes the roster. The refs robbed him of an INT against the Broncos. finished with 60 tackles. Competing with Spaight, but I think he makes it
Martrell Spaight: Could be the odd man out, 4th year 5th round pick, He's a good ST, but not good in coverage, and missed a lot of tackles, finished last year with 75 tackles, if he plays well enough in preseason. he could push Shaun to the PS.
Shaun Dion-Hamilton: 6th round rookie, undersized but smart, injury history
Vontae Diggs/ Jerod Fernandez: UDFA rookies fighting for a PS spot
CB
Josh Norman: No competition here for the cb1 spot, Jno is a leader and still solid but I think it's his last year, moving on after the season would help a lot for extensions for preston smith and Scherff
Quinton Dunbar: 2017 third round pick Fabian Moreau could win the job but im going with Dunbar. Dunbar's story is interesting, came to the skins a few years back as an undrafted wr who couldn't catch and was moved to cb, now he projects to be a starter. The 6’2 Corner played 300+ snaps and didn't give up a TD, defended 8 passes and intercepted wentz. The battle for the cb2 spot is the biggest one of training camp.
Orlando Scandrick(hopefully not), I hated this signing, scandrick is old and has a major injury history, luckily there are a lot of guys in position to win the job, Moreau being the big one, with Holsey and Stroman having a small chance too. For now he's listed as a starter but he has vet little guaranteed money so I hope they won't just give him the job.
Fabian Moreau: 2017 third round pick, He was projected by some to be a late first before tearing his pec at his pro day. He ran a 4.3 at the combine. The 6’0 cb is more of an outside cb but could probably play the slot, big expectations from the fans
Josh Holsey: 2017 7th rounder, was a ST only guy last year and was decent, hes 5”11 and projects as a slot cb, could be pushed to the PS due to all the new corners(Stroman)
Adonis Alexander: 6’3 supplemental 6th rounder, super raw with some off field concerns but could have a role next year
Greg Stroman: 7th round rookie, very good in man coverage, slot cb, can return punts which may give him an edge over Holsey.
Danny Johnson: UDFA rookie slot cb, has been impressing at OTAs, could win a PS spot and maybe kick out Holsey, but will need to improve against the run
FS
Montae Nicholson: 2017 4th rounder, We really didn't like this pick. He has great athleticism at 6’2 and 4.4 speed but was seen as a big reach, but now he is the most hyped player on our Defense. He only played a few games due to injury but had an INT of Carr and looked good roaming the backfield. Gruden called him the Jordan Reed in how much he allows them to do
Troy Apke: 4th round rookie, 4.31 speed, probably is a ST only guy while he develops
Fish Smithson: 3rd year UDFA who impressed in Preseason last year after getting an INT, spent last year on the PS, could return there but will compete with Blanding and Everett
SS
DJ Swearinger: The unquestioned leader of our Defense, came in last year and was made captain before playing a snap. His hit on Lynch in week 3 shows the player he is. He did have some big plays allowed but was an above average safety with 70 tackles, 4 ints, 10 pds, and a FF.
Deshazor Everett: Re-signed to a 2 year deal, good ST and good depth though he has his issues in coverage, forced a fumble against the broncos, probably safe
Quin Blanding: Local 6’2 UDFA rookie, not very fast(4.6 speed) but an excellent tackler, zone coverage experienced, and finished with 495 tackles in his career, Gruden says he has a chance to stick, could land on the PS but I think he makes the roster
Upcoming Free Agents
Preston Smith
Jamison Crowder
Anthony Lanier
Pernell Mcphee
Colt Mccoy
Future Needs
CB
LG
ILB
TE
QB
2019 Projected Draft Picks
1 1st round
1 2nd round
2 3rd round
1 4th round
2 5th round
2 6th round
1 7th round
I hope we hold off on QB this year and wait for the 2020 draft. I like most of our depth so I wouldn't hate it if we used most of our picks to move up for a blue chip player, I see CB as our biggest need next year.
Expectations
Secondary: I will start off with the area I think we regress most in, surprisingly our secondary was 11th in yards given up, even though we allowed the 5th most explosive plays I think we fall anywhere from 16-22 range. We lost 2 starters in Breeland and Fuller and there will be a lot of new faces. I'm optimistic the cb2 situation. will work out with Dunba Moreau, but im less confident in the slot cb situation, we are in a division with Beasly, Shepard and Agholor. Some Days I think our pass rush allows them to look really good, but they will have to gell fast or guys like Rodgers and Matt Ryan could have big days if they don't communicate.
Pass Rush: This is the one area i think we are top 5 in, we were 7th last year with Allen and Ionman getting injured after week 6 and this year we add Payne in the 1st, I think this unit will get a lot of respect after a few games
Receivers: I don't think we have a 1000 yard receiver this year, there will be a lot of targets between Doctson, Reed, Crowder, Richardson, Thompson, Davis and a few for guice, If reed is healthy he has the best chance, followed by crowder, but I think we have a well balanced passing game and smith gets to 4k yards(Cousins got to it all 3 years he was here)
Run D: Im not gonna go crazy since we were last in the nfl last year so I will predict a top 18 Run D, Injuries played a large role in that and we replaced the worst starting NT in the NFL.(Its ziggy hood)I think the potential is higher though.
Overview: I really do think we are a better team than most give us credit for and I think we will be competitive in every game, especially with all our guys coming back from IR, but with that being said we are in the NFC which is going to be a bloodbath and our Division is headed by the reigning super bowl champs, and Barkley and Zeke will give us headaches twice a year and test our revamped run-d. My prediction is 9-7 for the season, I don't think that will be enough for a wild-card appearance in the NFC(Just a daily reminder, it is stacked as hell). If we underperform i could see Gruden leaving and the new coach will have 10 picks to work with. Anyway I hope you enjoyed this, I spent quite a bit of my time on this and I hope it gives you a better perspective on our team. HTTR!
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