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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning October 12th, 2020

Good Saturday morning to all of you here on stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning October 12th, 2020.

Earnings could be a positive force for stocks as Washington continues to wrangle over stimulus - (Source)

Stock market optimism for a stimulus package has been rising, but the focus swings to earnings and that could be a positive for stocks in the week ahead.
JPMorgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley all release earnings in the first big wave of corporate reports. There is also some important data, including CPI inflation data Tuesday and retail sales for September on Friday.
“It looks like earnings season might turn out better than expected, based on early reports,” said Ed Keon, chief investment strategist at QMA. “The guidance looks pretty good. So, we have earnings season upon us, the stimulus talks go back and forth, and it looks like maybe there’s a will to get something done.”
On Friday afternoon, the White House raised its offer for at stimulus package to $1.8 trillion but was still below the $2.2 trillion sought by Democrats. “It’s really hard to read,” said Keon.
But he said even if there’s no agreement on stimulus now, there should be a package after the election, regardless of who wins.
“I actually put some money to work in small caps on the belief if we get further stimulus either soon or a few months from now, you do want to own economically sensitive stocks,” said Keon.“We’re reasonably constructive on the market and valuations are not cheap, but compared to the 10-year [Treasury yield] at less than 80 basis points, stocks don’t look that bad.”
Stocks in the past week had their best performance since early July, with the S&P 500 up 3.8% at 3,477. The small cap Russell 2000 was up 6.4%. The 10-year Treasury yield had a big move during the week from about 0.70% to as high as 0.79% Friday. Yields move opposite price, and the 10-year yield has now broken out of a range its been stuck in below 0.70%.
Earnings could provide positive momentum for stocks, if companies continue to beat estimates at a healthy pace, like last quarter.
“Q2 reporting season saw S&P 500 earnings beat at an unprecedented rate, both in terms of breadth (85%) and size (+20%), prompting historically rare, strong upgrades to forward estimates, especially for the cyclicals, and one of the strongest earnings season rallies on record,” wrote Deutsche Bank strategists.
The summer earnings rally came before the big September decline, which took the S&P 500 down about 10%. The S&P 500 is up more than 8% since Sept. 24.
“While the bottom-up consensus for Q3 is for a sharp rebound in headline earnings, the bulk of it is being driven by reductions in loan loss provisions and Energy sector losses. Excluding these, underlying earnings growth is forecast to barely move up (-15% to -13%), despite rising Q3 GDP growth estimates pointing to a strong macro rebound,” they noted.
The Deutsche strategists said the question remains, however, whether the market will respond to earnings beats or election uncertainty.
Keon said the market has been moving up as former vice president Joe Biden extended his lead in the polls because there’s less chance of an uncertain outlook the more one candidate leads. According to RealClearPolitics, he was leading President Donald Trump by 9.7 percentage points, from just about 6 points at the beginning of the prior week.
“I think from the market’s perspective, it doesn’t really matter who wins, as long as we have a clear winner,” said Keon. “I think the direction of the polls are suggesting that we’re going to have a clear winner either on election night or a few days after that. The risk of a messy contested election is going down, and the market is relieved by that.”
Tom Block, Washington analyst at Fundstrat, said Trump appears to be hoping for a stimulus bill signing before the election to help his re-election effort.
“There are many moving parts here, and they’re all moving in different directions,” said Block. “It’s not impossible a deal comes together but the pathway to a deal is not clear on Friday afternoon because of the mixed signals that have come out over the last seven days from the White House.”
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has opposed a large package, and the two sides have been stalemated. “I think the president believes that he will be helped by having a signed ceremony at the White House approving the bill, that the optics of signing the bill that’s going to send relief to people is an optic he desperately wants, and it can’t hurt,” he said.
The economic recovery is going on in the background, and some parts of the economy have shown real improvement, like housing.
Retail sales on Friday is a good look at how the consumer has been faring, now that enhanced unemployment benefits have been gone for the past two months. Economists expect 0.6% gain in retail sales, the same as August.
Keon said it is important to get some more help for the economy through stimulus. There is expected to be one-time payments to individuals and enhanced employment benefits.
“That would be good news for the market, if we could get more help where it is needed. We really just need to get a bridge for a more normal circumstances next year,” said Keon.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

Ten-Baggers Under Trump

In our prior post we looked at the best and worst performing S&P 500 stocks since Election Day 2016. In this post we've broadened our filter and looked at the Russell 3,000, which is an index that covers more than 98% of all publicly traded market cap in the US. Within the Russell 3,000, there are 32 stocks that are up more than 1,000% since Trump was elected. These 32 "ten-baggers" -- as Peter Lynch liked to call them -- are listed in the table below.
At the top of the list is Enphase Energy (ENPH), which is up 8,892% since Election Day 2016. While Enphase has "Energy" in its company name, it's actually a Technology sector stock that "manufactures software-driven home energy solutions that span solar generation, home energy storage and web-based monitoring and control." Next up is Zynex (ZYXI) with a gain of 7,211%, followed by Digital Turbine (APPS) up 5,320%. ZYXI markets itself as a "better and safer way to manage pain" than opiods using electrotherapy devices. APPS is an app marketing company that helps app developers get their product on as many devices as possible.
Of the 16 best performing Russell 3,000 stocks since Election Day 2016, 15 come from either the Technology or Health Care sectors. XPEL is the only stock in the top ten that's not in either the Tech or Health Care sectors. Up 2,341% since Trump was elected, XPEL is a Consumer Discretionary stock whose main product is to provide auto-paint protection.
Along with the names mentioned already, other notables on the list of ten-baggers under Trump include Jack Dorsey's Square (SQ), pet-food maker Freshpet (FRPT), digital health company Teladoc (TDOC), the arts and crafts social media company Etsy (ETSY), and of course, Tesla (TSLA). With a gain of 1,002% since November 8th, 2016, Tesla just barely makes the cut!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Best Performing Stocks Since Election Day 2016

On Monday we published our asset class performance matrix showing total returns for key ETFs since Election Day 2016 (11/8/16). Today we wanted to highlight the individual stocks traded on US exchanges that have performed the best and the worst since President Trump surprised the world with a victory over Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. First off, below is a chart showing the average performance of stocks in each S&P 500 sector since Election Day 2016. (These are based on stocks currently in the index and not as the index stood on 11/8/16.)
As shown, the average stock in the broad S&P 500 is up 67.3% since Trump was elected. Four sectors have posted stronger average returns than that -- Technology (+160.4%), Health Care (+100.3%), Consumer Discretionary (+74.6%), and Industrials (+69.9%).
The Energy sector stands out like a sore thumb in the chart below. While every other sector has at least averaged double-digit percentage gains, the stocks in the Energy sector are down an average of 52.3% since Trump was elected! Other sectors that have been weaker than the broad market include Real Estate, Consumer Staples, and Financials.
If you were to ask most people back in November 2016 which areas of the market should outperform under Trump and which should underperform, you'd likely see results that are the exact opposite of what has actually happened. Sectors like Energy, Real Estate, and Financials would have been expected to benefit from Trump since those are the industries he's most associated with, while Tech is a sector that's usually expected to benefit more when the Democratic party is in control.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Looking at individual stocks, below we show the 46 stocks currently in the S&P 500 that are up at least 200% since Election Day 2016. Two stocks -- Etsy (ETSY) and Advanced Micro (AMD) -- have been "10-baggers" with gains of more than 1,000%, while another three -- Paycom (PAYC), NVIDIA (NVDA) and DexCom (DXCM) -- are up more than 500%. Other names on the list are a who's who of the most popular stocks over the past few years, including Adobe (ADBE), Netflix (NFLX), Apple (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), salesforce.com (CRM), and PayPal (PYPL).
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
While there are 46 stocks in the S&P 500 up more than 200% since Election Day 2016, there are 32 stocks that are down more than 50% over the same time frame. The Energy sector is the most represented on this list by far with 14 stocks overall and 10 of the worst 11! The only non-Energy stock in the top ten is General Electric (GE), which is down 76% since Trump was elected. Other notable losers include airlines and cruiselines like AAL, CCL, and NCLH, and consumer stocks like TAP, KHC, UAA, WBA, and LB.
General Electric (GE) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) are the two names that stand out the most. Each of these stocks were at one point in time the largest company in the world, but they're both now shells of their former selves with huge losses over the last four years. Remember these two examples when you're looking at the largest companies in the world right now. Chances are a few of them will experience similar fates as GE and XOM over the next ten to twenty years.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

News High for Net New Highs

Yesterday, the S&P 500 closed at its highest level since only a few days after the early September high. While the index has yet to reach a new high, many individual stocks in the index have. As shown in the charts below, 11.71% of S&P 500 stocks closed at a new 52-week high yesterday while no stocks closed at a new 52-week low. That makes for the second-highest net new highs reading of the pandemic with the only higher reading (17.62%) occurring just over a month ago at the last all-time high on September 2nd. Before that, the last time net new highs were as high as now was on February 19th: the last all-time high before the bear market began.
As for the individual sectors, there has also been a significant pickup in the net percentage of new 52-week highs. Industrials currently has the highest reading of net new highs among the 11 sectors at 26%. Just like the broader S&P 500, that is the highest since September 2nd when the net percentage of new highs rose above 30%. Consumer Discretionary is the runner up in being the sector with the highest percentage of net new highs. One distinguishing factor, though, is whereas every other sector has seen higher readings at some point since the bear market in the spring, Consumer Discretionary's current reading of 18% is tied with the reading from August 24th. On the other end of the spectrum, both Communication Services and the Energy sector have seen no new highs over the past few days. Granted, there have not been any new 52-week lows either. Meanwhile, Financials and Real Estate have both seen an uptick in net new highs, but it has been much more modest than other sectors.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Breadth Booming

One of the most notable aspects of the rally off the late September lows has been broad participation. As shown below, breadth is very strong as the 10-day advance-decline lines for several sectors are at some of their highest levels of the past year. For the S&P 500, the 10-day advance-decline line is at its highest level since June 8th. The same can be said for Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Real Estate. For Consumer Staples, the sector's 10-day A/D line is at its highest level since June of 2019 and for Health Care it is at its highest level since May of 2019. In the case of Technology, it has been even longer as that sector's line is at its highest level since last April.
While broad participation is healthy for the long-term prospects of a rally, these 10-Day A/D lines have gotten extremely overbought in the near term, suggesting a cool-down period is likely in the days ahead.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
With short term breadth running very hot, the cumulative A/D lines of several sectors are breaking out to new highs as well. Utilities and Materials are the only sectors to have seen prices reach a new high in the past few days alongside their cumulative A/D lines. As for the other sectors, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Materials, and Tech have also all seen new highs for cumulative breadth. The same applies to the S&P 500, but again, none of these have yet to see price do the same.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Election-Year October Market Performance Volatile since 1950

October’s history of volatility was recapped in the October Almanac as well as it being the worst performing month of election years since 1950. In the following chart we have plotted election-year October performance for DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 since 1950 (NASDAQ since 1972 and Russell indexes since 1980) alongside their historical performance excluding gruesome election-year October 2008.
With or without October 2008, historical performance has been uninspiring in election years. Excluding 2008, October has generally started off on a positive note, but by around the fourth trading day, strength has tended to fade with weakness persisting until around the eighth trading day. Then a modest rally ensued through mid-month followed by more weakness and finally a rally to end the month. Grey shading highlights the two historical windows of weakness that could setup our Seasonal MACD indicators.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending October 9th, 2020

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)

STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 10.11.20

([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())
(VIDEO NOT YET POSTED.)
Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
  • (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 10.12.20 Before Market Open:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Monday 10.12.20 After Market Close:

([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())
(NONE.)

Tuesday 10.13.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 10.13.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 10.14.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Wednesday 10.14.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 10.15.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Thursday 10.15.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 10.16.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 10.16.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

JPMorgan Chase & Co. $101.20

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, October 13, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.35 per share on revenue of $28.25 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.47 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 47% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 12.31% with revenue decreasing by 22.03%. Short interest has increased by 1.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 2.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 3.4% below its 200 day moving average of $104.75. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 9, 2020 there was some notable buying of 8,290 contracts of the $102.00 call expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.2% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Johnson & Johnson $150.97

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:40 AM ET on Tuesday, October 13, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.99 per share on revenue of $20.40 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.10 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 72% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 6.13% with revenue decreasing by 1.59%. Short interest has decreased by 19.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.4% above its 200 day moving average of $144.63. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, September 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 5,050 contracts of the $160.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 2.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Citigroup, Inc. $44.93

Citigroup, Inc. (C) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:00 AM ET on Tuesday, October 13, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.01 per share on revenue of $17.12 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.02 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 42% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 48.99% with revenue decreasing by 34.43%. Short interest has decreased by 23.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 12.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.9% below its 200 day moving average of $54.74. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 9, 2020 there was some notable buying of 18,737 contracts of the $50.00 call and 18,010 contracts of the $50.00 put expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.1% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Bank of America Corp. $25.36

Bank of America Corp. (BAC) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Wednesday, October 14, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.53 per share on revenue of $20.59 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.55 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 29.33% with revenue decreasing by 27.85%. The stock has drifted higher by 6.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 3.1% below its 200 day moving average of $26.18. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, September 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 33,467 contracts of the $25.00 call expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.2% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Progressive Corp. $99.88

Progressive Corp. (PGR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:30 AM ET on Wednesday, October 14, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.71 per share on revenue of $10.56 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.87 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 51% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 20.42% with revenue increasing by 10.80%. Short interest has increased by 8.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 17.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 22.1% above its 200 day moving average of $81.77. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, October 7, 2020 there was some notable buying of 728 contracts of the $95.00 call and 710 contracts of the $95.00 put expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.9% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Delta Air Lines, Inc. $32.81

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, October 13, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $3.10 per share on revenue of $3.09 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($3.21) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 11% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 233.62% with revenue decreasing by 75.40%. Short interest has decreased by 24.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 28.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.6% below its 200 day moving average of $34.75. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 9, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,729 contracts of the $34.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.2% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

BlackRock, Inc. $611.57

BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:20 AM ET on Tuesday, October 13, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $7.46 per share on revenue of $3.92 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $7.81 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 65% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 4.34% with revenue increasing by 6.18%. Short interest has decreased by 36.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 5.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.1% above its 200 day moving average of $522.35. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 6.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.6% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

UnitedHealth Group, Inc. $327.84

UnitedHealth Group, Inc. (UNH) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 5:55 AM ET on Wednesday, October 14, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.98 per share on revenue of $63.73 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $3.10 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 69% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 23.20% with revenue increasing by 5.60%. Short interest has decreased by 6.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 8.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 13.3% above its 200 day moving average of $289.47. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, September 21, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,031 contracts of the $260.00 put expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.8% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Wells Fargo & Co. $25.30

Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:50 AM ET on Wednesday, October 14, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.46 per share on revenue of $17.79 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.46 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 34% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 50.00% with revenue decreasing by 33.83%. Short interest has decreased by 15.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 5.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 21.6% below its 200 day moving average of $32.26. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, September 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 29,138 contracts of the $27.50 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.6% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. $207.54

Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Wednesday, October 14, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $5.37 per share on revenue of $9.20 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $5.81 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 54% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 12.11% with revenue decreasing by 27.98%. Short interest has decreased by 5.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 3.4% above its 200 day moving average of $200.79. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, September 24, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,311 contracts of the $200.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.3% move in recent quarters.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead stocks.
submitted by bigbear0083 to stocks

[Launch] SCHENKER VISION 15 with Intel for 2021

[Launch] SCHENKER VISION 15 with Intel for 2021
Dear Community,
today we announced SCHENKER VISION 15, a brand-new laptop that is the second project in our collaboration with the SPG division in Intel.

Press Links:


Video Links:


https://preview.redd.it/8tmrfaskg7061.jpg?width=1920&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=af13271adf976679089772efb4c2a35983082745
I already took some teaser pictures out here in Taipei, Taiwan
Mainboard + Thermals with Core i7-1165G7
All real-life pictures:

Product Highlights

  • Based on Intel NUC M15: the new industry-standard reference implementation of the Tiger Lake and Project Athena platform
  • Intel Core i7-1165G7 with 4 Cores and 8 Threads in 28W and a top-notch cooling system
  • Over 90% sRGB Coverage, over 400 nits Brightness + Multi-Touch
  • 180° opening angle and one-hand opening
  • High-quality membrane keyboard
  • Full metal unibody with anodised aluminium, i.e. no plastics, no paint, no magnesium -
  • Extremely quiet even under full load
  • Extremely cool in the keyboard area under full load
  • Performance Profiles without 3rd party app, fully realised with the Windows battery slider
  • Super-efficient LPDDR4X 4266MHz RAM, PCIe Gen4 x4 SSD Support with Samsung 980 Pro
  • Stable DPC Latency
  • 2x Thunderbolt 4 and Intel Xe Graphics thanks to Tiger Lake
  • Thunderbolt 4 and USB-C Charging on both sides of the chassis
  • Available in 25 keyboard layouts on Bestware.com
  • Excellent laptop speakers out-of-the-box without 3rd party apps
  • Long cable USB-C Charger already included in the package
  • Long-term support thanks to Intel partnership
  • Expected to be fully compatible with Thunderbolt docking stations and eGPUs
  • Smart features such as Voice Assistant even when closed, Wake on Approach, Walk Away Lock, No Lock on Presence

Benchmarks

A full review embargo will be lifted on December 4, 2020. But we can already share some of our internal testing with the i7-1165G7 in our samples:
  • Cinebench R20
    • Single: 590
    • Multi: 2433
  • Cinebench R23
    • Single: 1537
    • Multi: 5990
  • 3dMark TimeSpy: 1617 Graphics Score
  • Prime95 Small FFT at 'Better Performance' profile:
    • 77°C CPU Temperature, sustained
    • CPU Clock: 3.1GHz, sustained
    • Power Consumption (wall socket): ~40W
    • 36.5db(A) fan noise in low frequency ranges
    • Palm Rest: 28°C
    • Keyboard: 31°C
    • Bottom Case: 44°C
  • Battery Life:
    • Charge from 20% to 90% in 90 Minutes
    • Up to 14 hours Wi-Fi web-browsing at 150 nits with a full charge
If you have questions for other specific benchmarks, please let us know in the comments below.

Our role in the 'WITH INTEL' partnership

We have already demonstrated with XMG FUSION 15 that we can be an equal partner to a giant such as Intel. Intel's reference design for the QC71 gaming laptop was sold world-wide through various brands, but no partner like XMG brought so much support and after-sales firmware fine-tuning to the table.
Over the lifetime of XMG FUSION 15 we were always first to release countless BIOS updates, including the major feature upgrade in June 2020 which delivered highly sought-after premium updates to all existing customer, based on the feedback we have received from our community over the months. Up until now, XMG FUSION 15 is still one of our gaming and content creation bestsellers and we plan to continue to support it well into 2021 because it is still a unique combination of form factor, battery life and performance that is still absolutely unparalleled in this industry.
With SCHENKER VISION 15, we plan to repeat this success. We have had countless meetings with Intel since the launch of FUSION 15 to help them shape their roadmap, to deliver customer feedback and help fine-tune the hardware and software solutions of the next generation. We have started testing samples of SCHENKER VISION 15 already months ago and have been instrumental in helping Intel to test their product outside of the lab in a real-life environment, with diverse usage scenarios and with a keen eye on fine-tuning and the quality of user experience. Already in our hands this product has gone through numerous firmware updates and we are looking forward to further fine-tune it ahead of the first consumer-ready shipment in January 2021.

Current List of Feature Requests

We already have a list of talking points with Intel to make sure that this product will go the last mile and reach 100% perfection. For the sake of tracking our progress with Intel, we will share some of the items here.
[Last Update: November 19, 2020]
Item Status
Include Fn+Ctrl = 'Context Menu' Key Confirmed, will be implemented
Tool to create custom user BIOS boot logo Mostly confirmed
Improvements on Fan Control at low temperatures tba
Modify or Disable Keyboard Backlight Sleep Timer tba
Ability to disable Fn Numpad in BIOS tba
Ability to disable Touchpad Toggle (top-left) tba
Some of these requests mirror the things we have done on XMG FUSION 15 over time. For VISION 15, we hope to be able to deliver them faster.
If you have a feature request, no matter how unique or obvious it is, please let us know in the comments below.

Pre-Order, SKUs and Shipping Schedule

We will open pre-orders on December 4, 2020. The first shipments should become available in the middle of January 2021 according to Intel's current build-plan. We will go for i7-1165G7 and 16GB only - there won't be any Core i5 or 8GB configuration from us.
We commited to All Silver, and All with Touch display. A 'Midnight Black' edition might be planned for later in Q1 2021.

FAQ - Frequently Asked Questions


Q: How does Intel Tiger Lake keep up with AMD's and Apple's latest CPU offerings?
A: Not too bad, I would say. The i7-1165G7 in VISION 15 beats AMD's 4000U series in Single Core performance and reaches ~75% of the result of the AMD Ryzen 7 4800U in Cinebench R20 Multi, despite having only half as many cores.
In Cinebench R23 Multi 10min Loop, the i7-1165G7 reaches ~77% of the result of Apple's M1 in the actively cooled MacBook Pro M1 - although it remains to be seen how these two competitors fare in the skin temperature vs. fan noise department. With a 15.6" housing and the very efficient cooling solution, we expect VISION 15 to be ahead of the 13" MacBook Pro in that regard.
But a CPU is not only about raw multi-core performance - it is also about the platform it is enabling. There is much to be said about the list of little-known features that Intel supports in Tiger Lake, but the key difference makers are PCI-Express 4.0 for outstanding SSD speed and Thunderbolt 4 for unparalleled connectivity. AMD still has no answer for Thunderbolt (and no USB 4.0 implementation either) and Apple's USB 4.0 implementation on the M1 silicon is reported to lack support for eGPUs.
Other notable features in Tiger Lake compared to Intel's predecessors include:
  • Support for 4 displays in total (Intel HD Graphics only supported 3)
  • Native HDMI 2.0 and DisplayPort 1.4a
  • QuickSync with AV1 hardware-decode up to 8K HDR
  • Intel Gaussian & Neural Accelerator (Intel GNA) for AI acceleration
By the way, if you think Thunderbolt 4 is just a re-brand of Thunderbolt 3 - check out this video of TechQuickie by LinusTechTips.

Q: How does the cooling and audio system of VISION 15 work exactly?
A: It's pretty simple. As you can see in the picture above, the it has a dual-fan cooling solution with one heatpipe for each fan. Now the base unit of the laptop has a mesh above the keyboard. This serves a double function as a kind of speaker mesh and air inlet. Despite the speakers being on the outer bottom edges of the chassis, the unibody is built in a way that it transports the sound very well to that mesh so that the sound feels like it's coming from the screen. The result is a very crisp audio volume - without having to fiddle with any 3rd party audio enhancement apps.

Q: How does the system behave while on-battery?
A: It is part of Intel's Project Evo design guidelines that a system must not throttle too much when running on battery. In VISION 15 this is implemented perfectly, where neither CPU nor iGPU are performing below 95% of the 'plugged-in' performance on a full battery. This number might slightly go down when you battery approaches the lower levels, but you'll be able to work on VISION 15 with full power for a pretty long time overall. Your system will be fully responsive - no matter if plugged-in or on battery.

Q: Does VISION 15 support display output with VESA Adaptive Sync?
A: After already having pioneered NVIDIA G-SYNC in XMG PRO and ULTRA series in recent years, supporting the more open Adaptive Sync standard in as many models as possible is one of our design goals for 2021.
Intel Tiger Lake is the first mainstream CPU platform in which Intel’s iGPU is supposed to support Adaptive Sync according to Intel’s marketing claims.
We tested it on our upcoming XMG CORE 14 with i7-1165G7 and GTX 1650. VRR ouput worked fine*** via Thunderbolt 4 (aka USB-C/DP) with external monitors as long as those are marketed either with “AMD FreeSync” or with “G-SYNC compatile”. Essentially, those are monitors that implement the VESA Adaptive Sync industry standard. However, monitors that implement the proprietary method of NVIDIA G-SYNC (with the built-in G-SYNC module) are not able to support VRR from the iGPU in our tests.
* Curiously, with current Windows and driver, VRR only worked for content that was rendered on the NVIDIA dGPU even though it is indeed displayed through the iGPU framebuffer.

This chart is just FYI, based on XMG CORE 14. Please note that VISION 15 does not have a dGPU and is not planned to be upgraded with a dGPU either.
Now, VISION 15 does not have an NVIDIA dGPU so we need to get it to work on iGPU instead.
According to our contacts in Intel, the lack of VRR on iGPU is due to missing Windows Update. According to Intel, everything already works fine on the “Windows 10 Iron” Build 21H1 19624.200504 (or later) which is currently only available for members of the Windows 10 Insider program. We will try to find out when this patch is supposed to hit the mainstream Windows Update cycles.
However, we don’t assume that proprietary NVIDIA G-SYNC panels will be able to be supported – same like AMD desktop graphics cards can’t support AMD FreeSync on those proprietary NVIDIA G-SYNC panels.
Meanwhile, VRR is called ‘Adaptive Sync’ in the Intel Graphics Command Center and is enabled by default.

Q: Will it be possible to apply Undervolting (Voltage Offset) on the CPU or iGPU?
A: We currently see no avenue to apply undervolting on any of the Tiger Lake systems we are launching. We have discussed the matter with the author of a popular free tool for Undervolting and tried a few unreleased Beta-versions and we are pretty confident in saying that Voltage Offset was still possible in Ice Lake but is currently hard-disabled in hardware for Tiger Lake. We have discussed this with our contacts in Intel and we'll make sure to send any feedback and concerns upstream to Intel.
Apart from Plundervolt which is discussed in this thread, another reason to disable Voltage Offset might be the relocation of the voltage regulators (CPU FIVR, PCH FIVR) in the new architecture. We have reasons to believe that this have has strongly reduced the gains you can make with voltage offset. In other words: the system might already be working at peak efficiency by default. This might warrant further discussion in the future, perhaps when Intel is launching their Tiger Lake "H" series designs (still under NDA). If you have any unique insight on this topic, feel free to share your information in the comments below or via PM.
What we can confirm is that the lowest Idle power consumption of TGL-UP3 has been greatly reduced compared to previous generations. It's now between 3 and 6W in all of the Tiger Lake systems we're currently launching where their Comet Lake (CML) predecessors were usually more like in the 10W ballpark.

Q: Any plans for a 4K resolution screen?
A: No plans right now. SCHENKER VISION 15 is fixed to deliver a very specific Full-HD Touch Displays with very high brightness and low weight and power consumption. There will be only that one panel - so there isn't going to be a panel lottery like with other brands. We do understand the demand for higher resolutions and we are seeking to be part of the push for high-DPI panels in appropriate form factors in the future. When we picked the new family name for this product, we thought of VISION to be not only our most forward-looking series in the SCHENKER portfolio but also to include products that have stunning visuals. I can already say that 2021 is going to be an exciting year on that front.

Q: How repair-friendly is VISION 15?
A: VISION 15 has seven (7) Torx T6 screws in the bottom cover. The choice for T6 is final as it provides more torque, leading to stronger build-quality without risking wear and tear (i.e. stripped screwheads). We are currently debating whether we should include a free Torx T6 screwdriver with every sold VISION 15. But you can also get them in any PC-centric screwdriver set.
Once you remove the 7 screws, the bottom lid opens very easily. You have access to the Battery, Wi-Fi module and the PCI-Express SSD. At that point you can also clean the fans and heatsinks with canned air.
Removing the mainboard will be very easy as well, requiring you to remove the SSD, Wi-Fi module, 5 ribbon cables and 7 additional screws. The mainboard comes out with the fans and heatsinks still attached as one solid unit.
The LPDDR4x memory is famously soldered on-board. That's why we opt to not offer any configurations below 16GB at launch. LPDDR4x is highly efficient and only available in BGA form. The efficiency helps with thermals and battery life, so it's actually a worthwhile trade-off.
Our cooperation with Intel on XMG FUSION 15 has convinced us that Intel is extremely efficient in their internal RMA handling. We will be able to buy spare parts directly from Intel's factory, but every barebone (minus SSD) will be able to be replaced in Intel's logistics hubs in Europe with zero turnover (Advanced Warranty Replacement, AWR) and very little communication overhead. Having such a strong partner in the back makes it even easier for us to offer our 48h warranty service to end-customers.

Q: How is the keyboard layout going to look like? What function keys do you have?
A: An overview over the German keyboard can be found here. We will offer 25 different keyboard layout at launch - a list can be found here.
VISION 15 continues our recent tradition to offer FnLock - so you can chose between having Fn functions or F keys as the primary input for the top row. Intel also implemented PageUp/Down/Home/End functions on the cursor keys which is something we have done on many of our recent models as well.
Full list:
Key Fn Function
Esc FnLock
F1 Standby
F2 Audio Mute
F3 Audio Down
F4 Audio Up
F5 Microphone Mute
F6 -
F7 Touchpad on/off
F8 Keyboard Backlight
F9 LCD Brightness down
F10 LCD Brightness up
F11 External Screen
F12 Flight Mode
Arrow ↑ Page Up
Arrow ↓ Page Down
Arrow ← Home
Arrow → End
One item is still missing on the pictures: Fn+Ctrl will be 'Context Menu' key. This should come in one of the next firmware updates and the icon will be printed on the keyboard if we get the firmware early enough.

We are looking forward to your feedback!
// Tom
submitted by XMG_gg to XMG_gg

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